Handicapping in Basketball
This allows bookmakers to level the playing field between the two teams and offer roughly even odds. The spread and the odds are displayed as follows:. Therefore, if Real Madrid only loses by 2 points, the bet is a winner. The totals market is a simple bet on how many points will be scored in the match between the two teams combined. Your sportsbook will set a points line, and you can bet that the total will be over or under that line. The moneyline is another 2-way market, which asks you to predict the winner of the match.
This is a simple home or away selection. As you can see, CSKA are the favorites to win the match, while the odds on Real Madrid are higher as that team is the underdog. If you fancy an upset it can pay handsomely to bet on the moneyline , but if you think the favorite will win it is often best to bet on the spread and hope they win comfortably, in order to increase the odds.
Beyond the typical markets, many bookmakers offer a variety of different betting opportunities, including the above three markets for the first and second halves, and for each of the four quarters.
If you think there will be a high-scoring game, for example, you might find very juicy odds on over points. The double result gives you the chance to select which team will be winning at halftime and at fulltime.
This is a good way to boost the odds of a selection but it does come with greater risk attached. For the bet to win, you have to correctly predict the result of both halves of the match. As stated, this is a bet on the winning margin of your selected team.
There are some huge odds in this market, but clearly, the risks of losing are far higher. The NBA season has been different this year for fans and bettors. Scoring is down and back-to-back games and a tight schedule has fatigued many teams across the league.
Tired legs have led to short jumpers and sloppy basketball. Oddsmakers have already adjusted totals to the decrease in offence, rendering the edge to bettors much smaller. Also, due to the number of games each day, bettors have a long list of games to cap, making it even harder to find value. Here are some aspects to consider when capping your NBA matchups.
This is probably the most important thing to keep an eye on. Injuries, especially to key players, are factored heavily into the line. When injury news breaks, certain games will have reduced limits or may be pulled off the board completely.
In some cases, teams will play better in spite of an injury to a star player. In this season most teams will go through periods of playing three games in three nights, this especially affects older squads. Some teams may feed off their home crowd especially well and have a great record at home. However, on the road, they struggle. It also should be noted that generally, bench players are most affected when you compare home and road splits.
Educate yourself before making a play on how your team reacts to the arena they are playing in. Occasionally, NBA teams will lose focus at certain points during a long season and bettors will need to capitalize on this. Another factor to consider is matchups. Although this is factored into the line, by knowing the lineups and players, you can help determine how well the oddsmakers are valuing the injury. If you spot a matchup where you see a clear advantage, you may want to look more closely at that game.
Trends, though, are still viable to use when capping NBA games, but they must not be the only factor. So beware of overvaluing a trend. This is often the case with totals; a trend might tell you Golden State and Phoenix have gone over the total the last five times the two teams have played. Props can be very profitable for some NBA Bettors.
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